The Xi Jin-Mills Strategy to Counteract Russia and the People’s Republic of China: A State of Strategic Security and Coordination
“The threat environment is always changing, and we are updating our policies today to make sure we’re addressing the challenges posed by the P.R.C. while we continue our outreach and coordination with allies and partners,” he said, referring to the People’s Republic of China.
Companies will no longer be allowed to supply advanced computing chips, chip-making equipment and other products to China unless they receive a special license. Most of those licenses will be denied, but a senior administration official said that certain shipments to facilities operated by U.S. companies or allied countries will be evaluated.
Emily Kilcrease, senior fellow at the Center for a New American Security, said that it was an aggressive approach by the U.S. government that would hurt the capability of China to develop certain critical technologies.
Biden’s foreign policy was to counter perceived threats posed by China. In October, the administration imposed export controls that prevented the sale to China of the cutting-edge chips and the equipment used to make them.
The document, required by Congress, comes 21 months into Biden’s term. The President has been able to show how the strategy focuses on rebuilding global partnerships and counteracting China and Russia.
Jake Sullivan, Biden’s national security adviser, said the strategy made clear the White House was not viewing the world solely through strategic competition.
“We will not leave our future vulnerable to the whims of those who do not share our vision for a world that is free, open, prosperous, and secure,” he goes on. The United States of America is the perfect nation to lead with strength and purpose as the world continues to adjust to the effects of the pandemic.
The document asserts that Russia poses an immediate threat to the free and open international system as a result of their brutal war of aggression against Ukraine. China is the only competing that wants to change the international order and advance technological power in that direction.
He said that this is a crucial decade for defining the terms of competition with the People’s Republic of China and for getting ahead of massive challenges that if we lose the time this decade we will not be able to keep pace with.
For the past five years, Sun said Xi had largely focused on securing his third term, and part of that meant convincing his party to remove the term limit and break with tradition. Now, his political agenda is likely to change from primarily domestic to global.
“He’s able to focus even more on implementing his foreign strategy and operationalizing his vision of the rejuvenation of the Chinese nation,” Sun said. “That inevitably will lead to even more, I would say, contest for influence and a contest for leadership, contest for superiority with the United States.”
Sun said she expects the “political confidants” and “political loyalists” of Xi to be appointed to key positions involving national security and foreign policy to help enact his vision.
People in the government do not believe in China’s policies towards the U.S., and she predicts they will be gone by the end of the year.
Whether it’s on Taiwan or technological interdependence, our views of the international order, those have all been there with China. Kennedy says that what divides us has been going on for a while. “But the lack of travel, the lack of direct communication, makes solving those problems almost impossible.”
There is a perception that Beijing is more and more focused on having reunification with Taiwan, but the strategy has not fundamentally changed.
But that perception — and the resulting actions from the U.S., such as high-level congressional visits from the likes of House Speaker Nancy Pelosi — has led to something of a catch-22 situation, Li said.
There’s a back and forth between the U.S. and China regarding how to retaliate for each other’s actions.
The tech industry is becoming a larger priority for China as they move towards the ‘great rejuvenation’ of the Chinese nation by the century of the People’s Republic of China in 2049, which aims to make China a modern socialist country.
As this has become more of a focus, China has worked to bolster its domestic research and innovation capacity, Li said, and that has then caused those in the U.S. to talk about decoupling from China when it comes to the technology and the supply chains that support it.
That’s led to what Li said is essentially an impasse. Progress can happen as long as both countries achieve it in the years to come.
The First Face-to-Face Meeting of the World’s Largest Economic Powers: Biden Xi Jinping the G20 Summit
The leaders of the world’s two largest economies will meet face-to-face for the first time during this year’s G20 summit in China.
The last time a U.S. president shook hands with the leader of China was more than three years ago. Relations between Beijing and Washington were much more stable despite the fact that Donald Trump was in the White House.
Trust is low, the rhetoric is increasingly tense, and disputes continue to grow in areas including trade, technology, security and ideology.
There will be no joint statement here. This is not a meeting that is driven by deliverables, according to a senior U.S. administration official. “The president believes it is critical to build a floor for the relationship and ensure that there are rules of the road that bound our competition.”
The two leaders have talked by phone several times since Biden took office last year, but they have been unable to reverse — or even slow — the downward slide in ties between the world’s two largest economies.
“I don’t think one meeting is going to rescue or really even redefine the relationship,” says Evan Medeiros, a professor at Georgetown University and former White House China advisor. “If they’re lucky, if it goes well, maybe they can bend the trajectory a little bit.”
Biden said on Wednesday his goal for the meeting is to get a deeper understanding of Xi’s priorities and concerns, and “lay out what each of our red lines are.”
“Those who play with fire will perish by it. It is hoped that the U.S. will be clear-eyed about this,” Xi warned Biden over the summer, when the two leaders met virtually.
Source: https://www.npr.org/2022/11/12/1135287047/biden-xi-jinping-g20-meeting
Biden-Xi-Jinping-G20 Meetings: What Will the Chinese Say After Nancy Pelosi’s Visit to Taiwan?
And in October, the Communist Party chief again reiterated that China’s preference would be for “peaceful reunification” but repeated that the use of force remains an option.
Nancy Pelosi’s visit to Taiwanriled up the crowd. Large-scale military exercises around the island were conducted by Beijing.
Biden will likely seek to reassure Xi that Washington’s long-standing policy regarding Taiwan has not changed, and that the United States does not support Taiwan independence. Analysts say that despite the Republican Party likely to take control of the House of Representatives following the elections, the president is likely to remain skeptical.
“I think the Biden administration will be less flexible or maneuverable” on China, says Zhu Feng, a professor of international relations at Nanjing University.
If McCarthy becomes majority leader he wants to go to Taiwan. Such a move could be disastrous, warns another Chinese expert on international relations.
The Chinese lost their minds when Pelosi went. “Next time, maybe they will just take action, I’m not authorized to speak to the media,” said the Chinese expert on international affairs who was not authorized to speak to the media.
Source: https://www.npr.org/2022/11/12/1135287047/biden-xi-jinping-g20-meeting
Chip War: The Fight for the World’s Most Critical Technology. IV. The Impact of China’s Cold War Zero-Sum Mentality
“Throughout the Cold War, there were a series of really tough export controls imposed on the Soviet Union by the U.S.,” says Chris Miller, author of the recently published Chip War: The Fight for the World’s Most Critical Technology. To be honest, there’s a lot of similarities.
It could be difficult to enforce the restrictions in China. It is easy to smuggle small scruple across borders. Also, total enforcement would require other countries that are part of the complex semiconductors supply chain to be on board, and that’s a work in progress.
Beijing has voiced opposition to the move — and officials regularly decry what they call Washington’s “Cold War zero-sum mentality.” China has yet to act in response. The controls were made at a very awkward time for Chinese policy makers because of the upcoming leadership shuffle, according to analysts.
Experts believe that Biden and Xi can muster political will and make a commitment to open more channels of communication.
Scott Kennedy is an expert on China at the Center for Strategic and International Studies. Kennedy visited China this fall and claims he is “the only think tanker from Washington that’s been to China since the outbreak of the pandemic.”
Source: https://www.npr.org/2022/11/12/1135287047/biden-xi-jinping-g20-meeting
The U.S. and China in the midst of the Cold War: a warning from the Chinese Congress on the current status of the RHIC and US midterm elections
There is a window of opportunity “to take a little bit of a gamble,” he believes, now that China’s Party Congress and the U.S. midterm elections are over.
Nobody should expect a lot from this summit. He says a genuine discussion may help improve understanding between the two leaders.
The current moment is dangerous and similar to the early 1960s when the U.S. and the Soviet Union distrusted each other.
The Cuban Missile Crisis gave both sides a belief that strategic restraint, often institutionalized through things like arms control agreements, was in their interests.